The National Health Interview Survey (NHIS) is conducted annually by the National Center for Health Statistics at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The NHIS is done primarily through face-to-face computer-assisted interviews in the homes of respondents. But telephone interviews are substituted on request, or where travel distances make in-home visits impractical.
For each interviewed family, only one sample child is randomly selected by a computer program.
The total number of households with a child or adolescent aged 3-17 for the years 2018 through 2021 was 26,422.
Based on responses from family members, 9.5% of the children and adolescents randomly surveyed throughout the United States had ADHD.
This proportion varied significantly based on age, rising from 1.5% for ages 3-5 to 9.6% for ages 6-11 and to 13.4% for ages 12-17.
There was an almost two-to-one gap between the 12.4% prevalence among males and the 6.6% prevalence among females.
There was significant variation by race/ethnicity. While rates among non-Hispanic whites (11.1%) and non-Hispanic blacks (10.5%) did not differ significantly, these two groups differed significantly from Hispanics (7.2%) and Others (6.6%).
There were no significant variations in ADHD prevalence based on highest education level of family members.
But family income had a significant relationship with ADHD prevalence, especially at lower incomes. For family incomes under the poverty line, the prevalence was 12.7%. That dropped to 10.3% for family incomes above the poverty level but less than twice that level. For all others it dropped further to about 8.5%. Although that might seem like poverty causes ADHD, we cannot draw that conclusion. Other data indicate that adults with ADHD have lower incomes. That would lead to more ADHD in kids from lower income families.
There was also significant geographic variation in reported prevalence rates. It was highest in the South, at 11.3%, then the Midwest at 10%, the Northeast at 9.1%, with a jump down to 6.9% in the West.
Overall ADHD prevalence did not vary significantly by year over the four years covered by this study.
This study highlights a consistently high prevalence of developmental disabilities among U.S. children and adolescents, with notable increases in other developmental delays and co-occurring learning and intellectual disabilities from 2018 to 2021. While the overall prevalence remained stable, these findings emphasize the need for continued research into potential risk factors and targeted interventions to address developmental challenges in youth.
It is also important to note that this study assessed the prevalence of ADHD being diagnosed by healthcare professionals. Due to variations in healthcare accessibility across the country, the true prevalence of ADHD may differ still.
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What are the links between ADHD and physical ailments in adults? And, where such links exist, how can we tease out where they are due to genetics, shared environment, or unshared environmental influences?
An international research team used the Swedish population and health registers to explore these links in an entire national population. They were able to do this because Sweden has a single-payer national health insurance system, cross-referenced with the population and other national registries through personal identification numbers.
This study identified full-sibling and maternal half-sibling pairs born from 1932 through 1995, through the Population and Multi-Generation Registers. This yielded a total of 4,789,799 individuals - consisting of 3,819,207 full-sibling pairs and 469,244 maternal half-sibling pairs, and 1,841,303family clusters (siblings, parents, cousins, spouses). Roughly half were men, the other half women.
After adjusting for sex and birth year, those with ADHD were at significantly higher risk of a wide range of physical ailments, when compared with individuals without ADHD:
· Over four times as likely to have sleep disorders or develop alcohol-related liver disease;
· Roughly three times as likely to develop the chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, epilepsy, and fatty liver disease;
· Over two and a half times more likely to become obese.
Overall, ADHD was significantly associated with 34 of the 35 physical diseases studied, rheumatoid arthritis being the only exception.
Comparing men with women, women with ADHD were at significantly greater risk of atrial fibrillation, urolithiasis, sleep disorders, and asthma than men with ADHD. Conversely, men with ADHD faced a greater risk of thyroid disorder than women with ADHD.
Between-sibling analyses showed that full siblings of individuals with ADHD were at significantly increased risk for 27 of the 35 physical ailments, suggesting that shared familial factors contributed to the co-occurrence of the conditions. This remained true even after adjusting for the occurrence of ADHD in full siblings.
These associations were generally reduced in maternal half-siblings of individuals with ADHD. The associations between full-siblings were significantly stronger than between maternal half-siblings for type 1 diabetes, obesity, kidney infections, back or spine pain, migraine, sleep disorders, asthma, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.
Keep in mind that full-siblings on average share half of their genes, whereas maternal half-siblings share only a quarter of their genes. Maternal (as opposed to paternal) half-siblings were chosen as a basis for comparison because they are typically brought up together in the same family setting, and thus are similar to full-siblings in having a shared family environment. Reduced risk in maternal half-siblings would therefore signal a genetic component to the risk.
Given that ADHD is itself a nervous system disorder, it is unsurprising that it correlated most strongly with other nervous system disorders, with a medium effect size (r=.23). Genetic factors explained over a quarter of the correlation, shared environmental factors over a seventh, and non-shared environmental factors the other three-fifths. The latter could point to environmental risk factors that influence both ADHD and nervous system diseases.
Small-to-medium correlations were found with metabolic, respiratory, and musculoskeletal disease groups, with genetic factors explaining roughly two-thirds of the correlation, and non-shared environmental factors most of the rest.
The authors concluded that "adults with ADHD are at increased risk of a range of physical conditions, across circulatory, metabolic, gastrointestinal, genitourinary, musculoskeletal, nervous system, respiratory, and skin diseases. Most physical conditions showed familial associations with ADHD (mainly from genetic factors). Our findings highlight the need for rigorous medical assessment and care in adult patients with ADHD, and suggest long-term consequences of age-related diseases."
A research team used Sweden's Total Population Register to identify all 445,790 individuals born in the five years from 1987 through 1991 who remained alive and resident in Sweden during the follow-up period (2001-2014).
The team then consulted the National Patient Register (NPR) to identify the 3,534 members of this cohort who received an ADHD diagnosis before turning eighteen.
Next, they used two national registers (the NPR and the Swedish Prescribed Drug Register) to identify those who also received an ADHD diagnosis or medication prescription in adulthood. They categorized these as "ADHD persisters," as opposed to "ADHD remitters," who did not seek further ADHD-related contact with healthcare services in adulthood.
Using national personal identification numbers, they were also able to link this data to demographic data in the Longitudinal Integration Database for Health Insurance and Labor Market Studies and to cost data in the Cost Per Patient database.
The team adjusted for known confounders. Parental education and family income were used as proxies for socioeconomic status. They also adjusted fr sex and year of birth.
Of the 3,534 individuals who received an ADHD diagnosis in childhood, 62 percent were classified as persisters and 38 percent as remitters in young adulthood.
The mean annual healthcare expenditure for individuals with a childhood ADHD diagnosis was three times higher than for those without such a diagnosis: $1,223 versus $418(after conversion from Swedish króna into U.S. dollars). Broken down further, it was $854 versus $226 for inpatient care, $209 versus $104 for outpatient care, and $158 versus $87 for medication.
Focusing just on the ADHD group, the mean annual healthcare expenditure for those whose ADHD care persisted into young adulthood was 74 percent greater than for remitters:$1,456 versus $837 (which was still twice as high as for no childhood diagnosis). Broken down further, it was $1,014 versus $589 for inpatient care,$246 versus $151 for outpatient care, and $196 versus $96 for medication.
Inpatient care was the main driver of costs in individuals with a childhood ADHD diagnosis. Delving deeper into causes, almost a third of inpatient care was associated with drug or alcohol abuse, 15 percent with injuries, 14 percent with various somatic ailments, and the remainder with comorbid psychiatric disorders(primarily autism, schizophrenia, depression, anxiety).
The authors emphasized that "A novel finding in this study was that individuals with childhood ADHD who no longer had ADHD-related contact with healthcare services in adulthood (remitters) continued to show severe psychiatric and somatic health problems, often leading to hospitalization. This group of individuals showed intermediate profiles on outcomes, with values lower than the ADHD persistent group but higher than the non-ADHD group."
A Swedish-Danish-Dutch team used the Swedish Medical Birth Register to identify the almost 1.7 million individuals born in the country between 1980 and 1995. Then, using the Multi-Generation Register, they identified 341,066 pairs of full siblings and 46,142 pairs of maternal half-siblings, totaling 774,416 individuals.
The team used the National Patient Register to identify diagnoses of ADHD, as well as neurodevelopmental disorders (autism spectrum disorder, developmental disorders, intellectual disability, motor disorders), externalizing psychiatric disorders (oppositional defiant and related disorders, alcohol misuse, drug misuse), and internalizing psychiatric disorders (depression, anxiety disorder, phobias, stress disorders, obsessive-compulsive disorder).
The team found that ADHD was strongly correlated with general psychopathology overall (r =0.67), as well as with the neurodevelopmental (r = 0.75), externalizing (r =0.67), and internalizing (r = 0.67) sub factors.
To tease out the effects of heredity, shared environment, and non-shared environment, a multivariate correlation model was used. Genetic variables were estimated by fixing them to correlate between siblings at their expected average gene sharing (0.5for full siblings, 0.25 for half-siblings). Non-genetic environmental components shared by siblings (such as growing up in the same family) were estimated by fixing them to correlate at 1 across full and half-siblings. Finally, non-shared environmental variables were estimated by fixing them to correlate at zero across all siblings.
This model estimated the heritability of the general psychopathology factor at 49%, with the contribution of the shared environment at 7 percent and the non-shared environment at 44%. After adjusting for the general psychopathology factor, ADHD showed a significant and moderately strong phenotypic correlation with the neurodevelopmental-specific factor (r = 0.43), and a significantly smaller correlation with the externalizing-specific factor (r = 0.25).
For phenotypic correlation between ADHD and the general psychopathology factor, genetics explained 52% of the total correlation, the non-shared environment 39%, and the shared familial environment only 9%. For the phenotypic correlation between ADHD and the neurodevelopmental-specific factor, genetics explained the entire correlation because the other two factors had competing effects that canceled each other out. For the phenotypic correlation between ADHD and the externalizing-specific factor, genetics explained 23% of the correlation, shared environment 22%, and non-shared environment 55%.
The authors concluded that "ADHD is more phenotypically and genetically linked to neurodevelopmental disorders than to externalizing and internalizing disorders, after accounting for a general psychopathology factor. ... After accounting for the general psychopathology factor, the correlation between ADHD and the neurodevelopmental-specific factor remained moderately strong, and was largely genetic in origin, suggesting substantial unique sharing of biological mechanisms among disorders. In contrast, the correlation between ADHD and the externalizing-specific factor was much smaller and was largely explained by-shared environmental effects. Lastly, the correlation between ADHD and the internalizing subfactor was almost entirely explained by the general psychopathology factor. This finding suggests that the comorbidity of ADHD and internalizing disorders are largely due to shared genetic effects and non-shared environmental influences that have effects on general psychopathology."
An international team of researchers recently published the first meta-analysis of studies examining the prevalence of ADHD in older adults, with a particular focus on those fifty and older. They also looked at rates of treatment.
Since clinical evaluations a reconsidered the gold standard in diagnosing ADHD, and validated rating scales are considered more of a preliminary screening tool, the team distinguished between the two and ran two separate meta-analyses:
· Using validated ADHD rating scales. Combining nine studies with just over 32,000 participants, the team reported a prevalence of 2.2 percent. However, since the studies were not uniform in fixing the minimum end of their age ranges, constraining the results to persons 50 and older lowered the prevalence to 1.5 percent.
· Using clinical diagnoses. Combining seven studies with 11.7 million participants, they found a crude prevalence of 0.23 percent, which, after removing persons under 50, was adjusted to 0.19 percent. Limiting the results to the use of national registries further reduced the prevalence to 0.14 percent.
That means there's an order of magnitude (tenfold) difference between the two estimates of prevalence.
Recognizing that clinical diagnoses are the preferred means of diagnosis, the authors wrote, "methodological aspects need to be considered when interpreting the gap between the pooled prevalence estimates based on different assessment methods. The estimates from studies based on research diagnosis [ADHD rating scales] may overestimate the prevalence of ADHD in older adults. ... Thus, screening assessment tools for ADHD should only be used as the first step of a more comprehensive clinical ADHD assessment."
On the other hand, the authors also see an indication "that clinicians, to some extent, might fail to recognize and properly treat ADHD symptoms in older adults. Clinical presentation of ADHD may change with age, with inattentive symptoms becoming more prevalent than hyperactivity and impulsivity."
The team also performed a third meta-analysis, to look at ADHD pharmacological treatment rates among older adults. For this one, they pooled four studies encompassing over 9.2 million persons. After constraining the results to those fifty and older, they found a prevalence of only 0.02%. This points to a wide gap between rates of diagnosis and rates of treatment, even after noting that only one of the studies included data on non-pharmacological treatment.
The aim of behavioral parent training is to improve the child's behavior through improved parenting. Noting that "it is unknown which of its components are most effective," a Dutch team of researchers conducted a systematic search of the peer-reviewed medical literature to identify randomized controlled trials (RCTs) suitable for meta-analysis.
Twenty-nine RCTs with a combined total of 2,345 participants met the criteria.
The team explored five types of outcome variables:
· Positive parenting: behaviors such as reinforcement, monitoring, stimulating, and guiding the child.
· Negative parenting: behaviors such as corporal punishment, harsh discipline, inconsistent parenting, and poor monitoring.
· Parenting sense of competence: the extent to which parents perceive themselves as competent or effective in raising their child.
· Quality of the parent-child relationship: signs of affection, support, sensitivity, and responsiveness.
and behavioral parent training aims:
· Parental mental health: measures included parenting stress and several indices of parental psychopathologies, such as depression and anxiety.
A meta-analysis of 19 RCTs with 1,070 participants found a medium effect size improvement in positive parenting. Evidence of publication bias was borderline, but a trim-and-fill adjustment still reported a medium effect size reduction in ADHD symptoms. Similarly, limiting the meta-analysis to the 12 RCTs that were probably blinded made no difference in the outcome.
A second meta-analysis, of 15 RCTs with 878 participants, found a small-to-medium effect size reduction in negative parenting, after adjusting for publication bias. Limiting the meta-analysis to the six RCTs that were probably blinded modestly increased the effect size.
After adjusting for publication bias, a meta-analysis of 13RCTs with a combined total of 783 participants reported a small-to-medium effect size improvement in the quality of parent-child relationships. Limiting the meta-analysis to the six RCTs that were probably blinded made no difference in the outcome.
After adjusting for publication bias, a meta-analysis of 17 RCTs with a combined total of 1,083 participants reported a medium effect size improvement in parent sense of competency.
Finally, with no sign of publication bias, 23 RCTs with a combined total of 1,191 participants found a small-to-medium effect size improvement in parental mental health.
The team concluded, "Parent training had robust small- medium-sized positive effects on all parental outcomes relative to control conditions, both for unblinded and probably blinded measures. ... A reassuring finding was that effect sizes on positive parenting, negative parenting, and the parent-child relationship did not differ between probably blinded and unblinded measures, indicating that effects are not merely attributable to parents' investment affecting their assessment of outcome measures."
Modified release (MR) formulations of ADHD stimulant medications simplify adherence over immediate-release (IR) formulations, by only requiring a single dosing per day. They are also intended to reduce diversion to nonmedical usage and the development of drug abuse or dependency. Is there evidence they deliver on this promise?
There are 55 poison control centers distributed throughout the United States, and they all report through the National Poison Data System (NPDS).
A pair of researchers used the NPDS to obtain all 15,796 single-substance MR ingestion and single-substance 23,418 IR ingestion reported to poison control centers over the eleven years from January 1, 2007, through December 31, 2017. The medications were either amphetamine or methylphenidate-based.
IR ingestion was more commonly associated with more serious outcomes than were MR ingestion. No deaths were reported from MR stimulant ingestion, versus three deaths (a rate of one in 7,800 reports) from IR stimulant ingestion. While there were no observed differences between youth MR and IR ingestion about admission to critical care units, adult IR ingestion was more commonly admitted to a critical care unit than was adult MR ingestion. Moreover, adults were more commonly admitted to critical care units for both MR and IR ingestion than were youths.
Among youths, the vast majority of MR ingestion was unintentional, with only one in eleven attributed to intentions of suicide. Among adults, however, almost half were intentional, with just over a quarter attributed to intentions of suicide, and another one in six to intentional misuse.
Turning to IR ingestion, the vast majority were again unintentional among youths, with less than one in twelve attributed to suspected suicide attempts. But among adults, the majority were intentional, with almost one in three attributed to suspected suicide attempts, plus another one in five to intentional misuse.
More than four out of five IR ingestion among both youths and adults were of amphetamine medications. For MR ingestion, methylphenidate was most common in youths and amphetamine medications in adults, but only by slight margins.
The most commonly reported symptoms in adults and youths alike for both IR and MR ingestion were agitation, abnormally rapid heart rates, and high blood pressure.
The authors concluded, "More serious outcomes were associated with advancing age, intentional ingestion, and IR preparations. Higher rates of hyperadrenergic symptoms (tachycardia, agitation, and hypertension) were observed with IR ingestion."
On balance, this suggests MR formulations are safer, but both formulations are subject to abuse by a small minority of users.
Youths with disabilities face varying degrees of social exclusion and mental, physical, and sexual violence.
A Danish researcher used the country's extensive national registers to explore reported sexual crimes against youths across the entire population. Of 679,683 youths born from 1984to 1994 and between the ages of seven and eighteen, 8,039 (1.2 percent) were victims of at least one reported sex crime.
The sexual offenses in question included rape, sexual assault, sexual exploitation, incest, and indecent exposure. Sexual assault encompassed both intercourse/penetration without consent or engaged in with a youth not old enough to consent (statutory rape).
The study examined numerous disabilities, including ADHD, which was the most common one. It also performed a regression analysis to tease out other covariants, such as parental violence, parental inpatient mental illness, parental suicidal behavior or alcohol abuse, parental long-term unemployment, family separation, and children in public care outside the family.
In the raw data, youths with ADHD were 3.7 times more likely to be a victim of sexual crimes than normally developing youths. That was roughly equal to the odds for youths with an autism spectrum disorder or mental retardation, but considerably higher than for blindness, stuttering, dyslexia, and epilepsy (all roughly twice as likely to be victims of such crimes), and even higher than for the loss of hearing, brain injury, or speech or physical disabilities.
Looking at covariate, family separation, having a teenage mother, or being in public care almost doubled the risk of being a victim of sexual crimes. Parental violence or parental substance abuse increased the risk by 40 percent, and parental unemployment for over 21 weeks increased the risk by 30 percent. Girls were nine times more likely to be victimized than boys. Living in a disadvantaged neighborhood made no difference, and living in immigrant neighborhoods actually reduced the odds of being victimized by about 30 percent.
After adjusting for other risk factors, youths with ADHD were still almost twice as likely to be victims of reported sex crimes than normally developing youths. All other youths with disabilities registered significantly lower levels of risk after adjusting for other risk factors: for those who were blind, 60 percent higher risk; for those with autism, hearing loss, or epilepsy, 40 percent higher risk. Communicative disabilities - speech disability, stuttering, and dyslexia - actually turned out to have protective effects.
This points to a need to be particularly vigilant for signs of sexual abuse among youths with ADHD.
Folic acid, also known as folate, is an essential vitamin(B-9). Inadequate dietary folate has been associated with abnormal fetal brain development. That suggests a deficiency could contribute to neurodevelopmental disorders, including ADHD.
If so, could folic acid supplementation for pregnant mothers help avoid ADHD in offspring?
A Chinese study team conducted a systematic search of the peer-reviewed medical journal literature looking for studies exploring neurodevelopmental effects associated with such supplementation.
It identified six studies that specifically looked for associations with offspring ADHD. A meta-analysis of these studies encompassing a total of 29,634 participants found a 14% (one in seven) reduction in the odds of ADHD in the offspring of mothers taking folate supplementation as opposed to children of mothers not doing so.
There was no sign of either publication bias or between-study heterogeneity.
The authors concluded, "Our meta-analysis indicated that appropriate maternal FA supplementation may have positive effects on offspring's neurodevelopmental outcomes, including improved intellectual development and reduced risk of autism traits, ADHD, behavioral, and language problems."
Given that folate is an essential vitamin in the first place, this suggests ensuring that pregnant women supplement their diet with folic acid. The authors further counseled, "However, further high-quality studies on this topic are needed to confirm the optimal dosage and the right time of FA supplementation and to investigate the underlying mechanisms."
A team of Taiwanese researchers conducted a comprehensive search of the peer-reviewed literature to identify all randomized controlled trials (RCTs) performed to date exploring the efficacy of acupuncture treatment (AT) in reducing ADHD symptoms. They found ten studies with a combined total of 876 participants that met their search criteria. Seven were performed in China, one in South Korea, one in Iran, and one in the U.S. All involved youths, ranging from ages 3 to 18.
All required either a DSM-IV or DSM-V diagnosis of ADHD for inclusion. The controls varied. One used waitlist. Eight compared acupuncture treatment with methylphenidate treatment, with dosages varying from as little as 10-20 mg/day to 1,020 mg/day and 1,854 mg/day. Only one study was double-blind, meaning that both participants and investigators were blinded as to who was getting which treatment. It is of course essentially impossible to blind participants in RCTs involving AT unless sham-At is used as a control. Only one RCT compared AT with sham-AT, and it was not used in either meta-analysis.
Keeping these limitations in mind, a meta-analysis of the eight studies with 716 participants that compared AT with MPH found AT to be more than twice as effective in reducing ADHD symptoms as MPH. Heterogeneity between studies was low, with no sign of publication bias.
However, none of these studies reported ADHD rating scale scores, an additional major limitation. Instead, because outcome measurements varied across RCTs, the authors relied on "effective rate" (ER): The evaluation was divided into cured, markedly effective, effective, and ineffective. We merged the number of "cured," "markedly effective," and "effective" patients to be divided by the sample size to calculate the proportion of subjects who experienced at least some improvement in their ADHD symptoms in the ER.
On the other hand, a meta-analysis of three studies with 232 participants compared the effects of AT and MPH on actual hyperactivity scores and found MPH was much more effective than AT. Homogeneity was moderate, again with no sign of publication bias.
The author cautioned, "The quality of the evidence was low for the ER assessment because of the selection, performance, and detection biases. For hyperactivity scores, the quality of evidence was very low because of the selection and performance biases and significant heterogeneity." Due to the various limitations, they concluded, "AT may be more effective than methylphenidate for the treatment of ADHD in children and adolescents," but "firm conclusions still can not be drawn."
Youths with ADHD are at higher risk of suicide, burn injuries, road injuries, and more generally all-cause mortality than normally developing children. Methylphenidate (MPH) is known to be effective in reducing ADHD symptoms. Can it also reduce the risk of all-cause mortality? A team of Taiwanese researchers, collaborating with two British researchers, explored that question by looking at a nationwide population cohort.
Taiwan has a single-payer national health insurance system that includes the entire population (99.6 percent coverage). Using the National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD), the team identified over 183,000 youths under 18 with an ADHD diagnosis. Of these, just over 68,000 had been prescribed to MPH. The team matched them with an equal number of ADHD youths who were not prescribed MPH. All records were anonymized and checked against the National Mortality Register.
All-cause mortality was split into two subcategories. Unnatural-cause mortality consisted of homicide, suicide, and motor vehicle fatalities. Natural-cause mortality encompassed all other premature deaths. In the raw data, ADHD youths on MPH had half the all-cause mortality of those not on MPH. Natural-cause mortality was down about 40 percent and unnatural-cause mortality was by almost two-thirds. In the non-MPH group, 32 committed suicide in the follow-up year, versus only a single individual in the MPH group. There were seven homicide victims in the non-MPH group, versus none at all in the MPH group.
These staggering reductions, however, were almost exclusively among males. The team then adjusted for potential confounding variables - gender, age, residence, insurance premium, out-patient visits, and pre-existing diagnoses. In the adjusted model, the risk for all-cause mortality was still reduced - by about 20 percent - for those on MPH and remained statistically significant. Virtually identical reductions were found for males and for children first diagnosed with ADHD between 4 and 7 years old. But all other risk estimates became statistically non-significant, due in large measure to the rarity of mortality events.
The authors concluded, "This is the first study reporting that a longer interval between first ADHD diagnosis and first prescription of MPH is associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality. In addition, we also found that participants receiving longer-duration MPH treatment had a lower risk of all-cause mortality. ... an implication is that receiving a diagnosis earlier and receiving medication earlier may reduce the risk of later adverse consequences."
They nevertheless cautioned, "although we adjusted for multiple covariant, information lacking in the database precluded the measurement of other possible confounders, such as family history, psychosocial stressors, the effect of behavioral therapy or severity of comorbidities. Therefore, as with all observational data, it is not possible to be conclusive about whether the association with lower mortality is related to an effect of MPH treatment itself or whether other characteristics of the children receiving MPH may account for the lower risk (i.e. confounding by indication).
Finally, although the cohort sizes were large, the number of deaths was small, and this limited statistical power, particularly for the investigation of cause-specific mortality and of subgroup differences. Because of the relatively low number of deaths and limited follow-up duration, longer-term studies with larger samples are warranted ..."