November 20, 2023

Is there an association between childhood celiac disease and subsequent ADHD?

Celiac disease is an autoimmune disorder triggered by dietary gluten in genetically predisposed individuals. Gluten is a protein found in wheat and related grains such as barley and rye. The disease affects one to two percent of Western populations.

An international team of physicians conducted a nationwide cohort study of the Swedish population to explore the relationship between childhood celiac disease and subsequent psychiatric disorders, including ADHD, as well as suicide attempts and suicide.

With data from all 28 pathology departments in Sweden, they identified all 19,186 children with a diagnosis of biopsy-verified celiac disease from 1973 through 2016, and no previous history of psychiatric disorder. They then matched them with 94,249 children controls matched for age, sex, county, and calendar year from the Swedish national registers that encompass the entire resident population.

To address shared intrafamilial confounding, including genetic and early environmental factors, the team also compared 13,015 individuals with celiac disease with their 18,024 non-celiac siblings.

Additional Swedish national registers (Patient Register, Cause of Death Register) then made it possible to link the preceding data with data on subsequent psychiatric disorders and suicides for all the children in the study.

Celiac disease diagnosed in childhood was associated with a 19 percent higher risk of any subsequent psychiatric disorder at any time than for controls. The greatest spike in risk - 70 percent higher than for non-celiac controls - was in the first year following diagnosis of celiac disease. Restricting follow-up until the age of 18 years, celiac disease was linked to a 26 percent increased risk of any psychiatric disorder. For adults 18 and over, the increased risk declined to just 11 percent. So an initial sharp spike was followed by a steeply declining curve over time.

For ADHD, the increased risk at any time after the diagnosis of celiac disease was 29 percent. That compares with 47 percent for autism spectrum disorder, 34 percent for eating disorders, 20 percent for mood disorders, and 12 percent for anxiety disorders. There was no increased risk of psychotic disorders, behavioral disorders, personality disorders, psychoactive substance abuse, suicide attempts, or suicide. For adults 18 and over, however, the increased risk of ADHD rose to 39 percent, second only to autism spectrum disorder. For these two psychiatric conditions, there was an upward curve rather than a declining one.

The sibling analyses found a reduced but still significant 12 percent increased risk of psychiatric disorder following a diagnosis of celiac disease, again with the first-year spike of 48 percent increased risk declining to insignificance for the period beginning five years later. For ADHD, the increased risk also descended to 12 percent, but became non-significant, suggesting the increases were primarily attributable to confounding variables.

Among the 2,071 children with celiac disease who had a follow-up biopsy that showed mucosal healing of the small intestine in response to a gluten-free diet, the association with subsequent psychiatric disorders vanished.

The authors speculated that the spike in psychiatric diagnoses in the year following diagnosis of celiac disease could be because "the systemic inflammatory response is mediating this relationship," or could be due to "the psychosocial stress associated with adapting to the gluten-free diet." "However," they cautioned, "this risk is unlikely to be due to the gluten-free diet alone since we also observed an increased risk of psychiatric disorders preceding the diagnosis of celiac disease, possibly related to the systemic inflammatory response described above."  We must also keep in mind that such studies cannot rule out all sources of confounding or the possibility that being diagnosed with celiac disease leads to more exposure to the healthcare system and more opportunities for a diagnosis of ADHD to be recognized.

Benjamin Lebwohl, MD, Linnea Haggård, MD, Louise Emilsson, MD, PhD, Jonas Söderling, PhD, Bjorn Roelstraete PhD, and Agnieszka Butwicka,MD, Peter HR Green, MD, Jonas F.

Ludvigsson, MD, Ph.D., "Psychiatric disorders in patients with a diagnosis of celiac disease during childhood from 1973 to 2016," Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology (2020), https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cgh.2020.08.018.

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The Retina as a Mirror: Decoding the ADHD AI "Breakthrough" and Its Fatal Flaws

The Background:

For centuries, we’ve called the eyes the "windows to the soul," but for modern neurologists, they are quite literally a window into the brain. The retina and the central nervous system share the same embryonic origins, developing from the same neural tissue in the womb. Because of this deep biological connection, the back of your eye acts as a non-invasive map of your brain's health, displaying a complex web of nerves and blood vessels that can (theoretically!) mirror certain neurodevelopmental conditions. 

Recently, a buzz rippled through the mental health community when a study published in partnership with Seoul National University Bundang Hospital claimed a massive breakthrough. Researchers developed an Artificial Intelligence (AI) model that could screen children for Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD) using nothing more than a simple retinal photograph. The study, which prospectively recruited children from Severance Hospital and Eunpyeong St. Mary’s Hospital, produced results that were staggering: the AI reportedly achieved an accuracy rate of  96.9%!

In the world of medical testing, scientists use a metric called  AUROC  (Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic) to measure how well a test works.

  • 0.5  means the test is no better than a coin flip (pure luck).
  • 1.0  represents a perfect test with zero mistakes. 

An AUROC of 96.9% is a near-perfect score, suggesting a tool is ready for immediate, real-world deployment. While headlines promised a revolution in mental health screening, a deeper look into this research and the study’s design has exposed that this 96.9% AUROC was more likely evidence of a flawed methodology rather than a biological reality.

The Promise: How the AI "Sees" ADHD

To build their screening tool, researchers analyzed over 1,100 retinal images using a digital pipeline called AutoMorph and a machine-learning model known as XGBoost. The AI was trained to hunt for physical signals of the "Dopamine Connection." Dopamine is the primary neurotransmitter involved in ADHD, but it is also essential to the eye. It regulates synaptic formation, retinal blood flow, and vascular endothelial regulation. Because dopamine dysregulation influences how blood vessels grow and remodel, the study hypothesized that an ADHD brain would leave a unique "fingerprint" on the retinal vasculature, resulting in denser, thicker vessel structures.

On paper, the logic was sound: use AI to spot the subtle vascular remodeling caused by dopaminergic shifts. But a closer look at the investigation revealed that the AI wasn't just spotting ADHD; it was over-indexing on technical noise.

Flaw #1: Batch Effects

The most significant "smoking gun" flagged by critics is a massive temporal mismatch. In other words, there was a severe disparity in the timeframes and conditions under which the retinal images for the two comparison groups were collected. For an AI to learn a biological condition, it must compare groups under identical technical conditions. Instead, this study created a time-traveling dataset:

  • The ADHD Group:  323 children recruited prospectively in a tight 6-month window in  2022 .
  • The Control Group:  323 children gathered retrospectively over a  17-year span  (2007 to 2024).This discrepancy triggers severe Batch Effects. This is a term scientists use to describe non-biological factors in an experiment that can cause inaccuracies in the data it produces. Fundus photography technology changed dramatically between 2007 and 2024. An investigation into the hardware uncovered shifts in camera models, lens optics, sensor degradation, and digital compression formats .Think of it this way: if you compare a selfie taken on the original 2007 iPhone with one from an iPhone 16, the AI doesn't need to look at your face to tell them apart; it just looks at the  2007 sensor noise  and pixel grain. The AI likely didn't learn to identify ADHD so much as it learned to distinguish between "old camera" and "new camera."

Flaw #2: Control Group

A scientific study is only as reliable as its control group. The control in any experiment acts as a baseline against which the study group is compared. In this case, the control group should be composed of children without any neurodevelopmental disorders, or of “typically developing” children. 

In this study, the control group wasn't composed of healthy children from the community. Instead, they were patients visiting a tertiary ophthalmology clinic. Children visiting a specialist eye hospital are rarely "typical." They are there because they have symptomatic eye issues. This introduced a massive selection bias involving three major confounders:

  • Refractive Errors (Myopia/Nearsightedness):  Severe myopia physically stretches the retina. This stretching alters vessel density and optic disc size, which were the exact markers the AI was examining.
  • Strabismus:  Misaligned eyes.
  • Ocular Anomalies:  Physical eye defects.Because these conditions directly alter retinal architecture, the AI likely learned to distinguish between "kids with ADHD" and "kids with severe eye problems," rather than "kids with ADHD" and "typical kids."

Fatal Flaw #3: The "Mirror Image" Leakage

When training AI, you must never allow the "test questions" to leak into the "study material." The researchers, however, committed a fundamental violation of machine learning hygiene known as  Eye-to-Eye Data Leakage. The study split the data by the eye rather than by the participant. 

Human eyes are highly correlated; the left eye is a near-mirror of the right. If a child's left eye was used for training and their right eye was used for testing, the AI was effectively "cheating." Instead of learning the general traits of ADHD, the model was potentially memorizing individuals. This error artificially balloons accuracy metrics. 

The True Test: Differential Diagnosis 

The true test of medical AI is diagnostic specificity, or differential diagnosis. This refers to the ability to tell one condition apart from another. While the model claimed 96.9% accuracy against a flawed control group, its performance collapsed when faced with real-world complexity.

When the researchers asked the AI to differentiate between ADHD and Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD), the accuracy plummeted to a poor  63% AUROC. In real-world clinical settings, an accuracy of 63% is dangerously close to a 50% coin flip. Since ADHD frequently co-occurs with ASD, anxiety, or intellectual disabilities, an AI that cannot handle these "clinical differentials" is functionally useless in a doctor's office. The failure at this stage proves the model was likely detecting technical quirks of the dataset rather than a unique biological marker for ADHD.

Conclusion:

To move from the lab to the clinic, we must establish a foundation built on rigor rather than high-speed data scraping. Moving forward, we must demand these 3 Pillars of Trusted Medical AI :

  1. Prospective, Unified Hardware:  Data must be collected on identical camera systems with the same protocols to eliminate technical "batch effects."
  2. Healthy, Community-Based Controls:  Comparisons must be made against truly "typically developing" children, not patients from eye clinics with their own retinal anomalies.
  3. Rigorous External Validation:  AI models must be tested on independent datasets from entirely different hospital networks to ensure they aren't just "memorizing" one hospital's specific machinery.Artificial Intelligence holds immense potential, but we must demand detective-like scrutiny before these tools reach our children. In the search for the "window to the mind," we have to make sure we aren't just looking at a smudge on the glass.

The dream of a quick eye scan to diagnose ADHD is not dead, but it must be rescued from "fast science" shortcuts and buzzy headlines. 

June 17, 2026

Study Finds That ADHD Stimulants Have Negligible Effect on Adult Height

Background:

One of the more persistent concerns among parents of children with ADHD is whether stimulant medications will stunt their child's growth. A large Israeli cohort study now offers some of the most rigorous reassurance to date, and its methodology sets it apart from earlier research. 

The question has long been complicated by a more fundamental uncertainty: do growth differences in children with ADHD stem from the condition itself, from stimulant treatment, or from factors present before any medication is ever prescribed? Without a clear answer, clinicians and families have faced a genuine dilemma when weighing the benefits of stimulant therapy against potential long-term physical costs. 

Most previous studies compounded this difficulty by comparing group-average heights, which ignores the crucial variable of genetic potential. A child who is short relative to the general population may simply have short parents. Failing to account for this introduces systematic bias and can make medications appear more harmful than they are. 

The Study:

The Israeli research team addressed this directly. Using health records from a nationwide provider, they assembled a retrospective cohort of children born between 1995 and 2003, following them through 2023. This amount of time was long enough for all participants to have reached adult stature (defined as 17 or older for females, 19 or older for males). Their sample included 5,671 children with untreated ADHD, 11,846 who received stimulant treatment, and 47,258 non-ADHD controls. Children who took stimulants for only one to two months, or who had chronic medical conditions requiring long-term medication, were excluded to avoid confounding the results. 

Crucially, adult height was evaluated not against population norms but against each individual's expected height, calculated from parental heights using the Tanner-Goldstein-Whitehouse method, a standard approach for estimating genetic height potential via mid-parental height. 

When the researchers compared adult heights across the three groups using analysis of variance (ANOVA), they did find statistically significant differences. But statistical significance, particularly in studies with tens of thousands of participants, does not automatically translate into clinical significance. The effect sizes were consistently very small, and the absolute differences were under one centimeter, which is a margin considered clinically negligible. 

Their conclusion is measured but clear: after accounting for genetic growth potential, neither an ADHD diagnosis nor stimulant treatment was associated with meaningful reductions in adult height. The findings, they argue, support prioritizing behavioral and functional outcomes when making treatment decisions, since the risk of clinically significant height loss appears to be minimal. 

The Take-Away:

For families navigating ADHD treatment, the practical implication is significant: concerns about permanent growth suppression, while understandable, should not be the primary driver of whether or how long a child receives stimulant therapy. 

Meta-analysis: Cognitive Behavioral Therapy for Adult ADHD

A recent meta-analysis examined how well cognitive behavioral therapy (CBT) improves not just symptoms, but everyday functioning and quality of life in adults with ADHD. 

The Background:

ADHD in adults affects far more than attention or impulsivity. It often disrupts key areas of life: 

  • Education: Adults with ADHD tend to have lower GPAs, use fewer effective study strategies, achieve less academically, and are more likely to drop out.  
  • Work: They are more likely to experience job instability, including underperformance, unemployment, being fired, or frequent job changes.  
  • Social life: They often report smaller social networks, fewer close relationships, greater loneliness, and difficulty maintaining friendships or intimacy. Importantly, stronger social networks can help buffer (reduce) the impact of ADHD symptoms on daily life.  
  • Quality of life: Overall well-being is typically lower, affecting not only individuals but also their families and close relationships.

These broad impacts highlight a key issue: reducing symptoms does not automatically translate into better day-to-day functioning. 

CBT is a structured, skills-based therapy that helps people: 

  • Identify and challenge unhelpful thought patterns  
  • Reduce avoidance behaviors  
  • Build practical strategies for managing time, organization, and other executive functions (the mental skills used to plan, focus, and follow through)  

While both medication (especially stimulants) and CBT improve core ADHD symptoms, CBT is particularly aimed at improving real-world functioning. 

The Study:

The researchers analyzed studies involving adults diagnosed with ADHD (or showing clinically significant symptoms). They included: 

  • Randomized controlled trials (RCTs): studies comparing CBT to another treatment or to no treatment  
  • Within-subject studies: studies measuring change in the same individuals before and after CBT  

They focused specifically on outcomes beyond symptoms: 

  • Occupational functioning (work performance)  
  • Global functional impairment (overall daily functioning)  
  • Social relationships  
  • Academic functioning  
  • Quality of life  

The Results:

1.  Strongest Effects: Occupational functioning
CBT showed consistently strong improvements in work-related functioning compared to control groups, both immediately after treatment and at follow-up. This was the most robust finding across domains. 

2. Moderate Improvement: Global Functional Impairment
CBT led to moderate improvements in overall daily functioning, with some evidence that gains persist over time. In studies tracking individuals over time, improvements were even stronger at follow-up. 

3. Modest Gains: Social Relationships
CBT produced small to moderate improvements in social functioning. Benefits were present both after treatment and at follow-up, but were less pronounced than in work-related outcomes. 

4. Limited Effects: Academic Functioning
There were moderate short-term gains when CBT was compared to control groups, but these did not persist at follow-up. Within-subject studies showed only small improvements overall. 

5. Modest and Inconsistent Effects: Quality of Life
Improvements in quality of life were small when compared to control groups and often did not last. However, studies tracking individuals over time showed moderate improvements, suggesting some benefit that may not always show up clearly in between-group comparisons. 

Overall, the findings suggest: 

  • CBT does improve real-world functioning, not just symptoms  
  • The strongest and most consistent benefits are in occupational (work) functioning  
  • Gains in social life, academics, and overall quality of life are more modest and variable  
  • Improvements in functioning do not always track directly with symptom reduction  

One notable nuance: CBT did not always outperform other active treatments (like medication or other therapies). This suggests that while CBT is effective, its benefits may partly overlap with broader therapeutic or support effects rather than relying on a single, unique mechanism. 

The Take-Away: 

CBT is a valuable, evidence-based treatment for adults with ADHD, especially for improving work functioning and overall daily life management. However, its impact on relationships, academic outcomes, and quality of life is more limited and less consistent, pointing to the need for more targeted or combined approaches in those areas. 

 

June 9, 2026